Estonia has taken a step to secure its role in Europe’s next phase of AI infrastructure by joining a Nordic consortium building sovereign computing capacity. The project is being developed with Nokia and currently includes Finland and Latvia. Meanwhile, Sweden and Denmark remain in discussions to join.
Justice and Digital Affairs Minister Liisa Pakosta announced Estonia’s participation in Oulu, Finland. Notably, she linked the move to the European Commission’s push to support large-scale “AI gigafactories.” These facilities are designed to reduce Europe’s reliance on non-European cloud providers. At the same time, they aim to give governments stronger control over critical AI workloads.
As part of the agreement, Estonia will establish an AI-ready data center on its own territory. The facility will integrate with both national and regional digital infrastructure. In turn, it will provide computing capacity for public services, research institutions, and private enterprises.
Why Estonia Needs Local AI Compute
Estonia’s digital leadership has long rested on software, public-sector digitisation, and a strong AI-native startup ecosystem. However, policymakers now argue that application-level innovation alone is no longer sufficient. Without control over compute, those advances risk becoming fragile.
A recent government assessment, Estonia’s State Computing Capacity: Current State and Needs by 2030, illustrates the scale of the challenge. Currently, Estonia has access to around 214 GPUs for public-sector and scientific use. By contrast, projected demand could reach roughly 11,600 GPUs by 2030 under a moderate scenario. As a result, required capacity would increase more than fiftyfold.
This widening gap has intensified concerns around data sovereignty and system resilience. Moreover, it raises questions about long-term competitiveness. Without local infrastructure, Estonia would remain dependent on external cloud providers for sensitive data processing and advanced AI development.
From Infrastructure to Strategic Autonomy
Against this backdrop, the Nordic consortium has outlined four strategic goals for sovereign AI infrastructure. First, it seeks to keep sensitive data within national borders. Second, it aims to ensure reliable access to compute during geopolitical or market disruptions. Third, it supports the development of Estonian-language and culture-specific AI models. Finally, it is intended to underpin sustained research and economic growth.
“This isn’t just about infrastructure,” Pakosta said, emphasising the need for rapid action. “We must not only use AI, but help lead its development.”
Looking ahead, the European Commission is expected to announce its AI gigafactory support mechanism in early 2026. Project submissions are likely to follow later that year. Ultimately, for Estonia, the initiative signals a strategic shift. Digital leadership is no longer only about services and software. Instead, control over compute capacity is emerging as a core pillar of national autonomy.
